NBA Home favorites of 10+: New Orleans Pelicans: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 58 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 30-28 (51.7%)
Straight up: 50-8 (86.2%)
Over/under: 34-24 (58.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.09 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2018: 18-17 (51.4%); 2019-2026: 12-11 (52.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the New Orleans Pelicans?
30-28 against the spread (51.7%) in 58 team-games since 2007-08, 50-8 straight up and 34-24 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 18-17 (51.4%); 2019-2026: 12-11 (52.2%).