NBA Home favorites of 10+: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 79 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 36-41-2 (46.8%)
Straight up: 66-13 (83.5%)
Over/under: 36-43 (45.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.49 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2012-2020: 16-15 (51.6%); 2022-2026: 20-26 (43.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: MIN vs MIL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2024 | 5-10 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 3-1-1 | 75.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 6-6-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2014 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
36-41-2 against the spread (46.8%) in 79 team-games since 2007-08, 66-13 straight up and 36-43 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2012-2020: 16-15 (51.6%); 2022-2026: 20-26 (43.5%).