NBA Home favorites of 10+: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 123 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 62-61 (50.4%)
Straight up: 108-15 (87.8%)
Over/under: 69-52-2 (57.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.9 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 2010-2019: 21-21 (50.0%); 2020-2026: 41-40 (50.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2024 | 3-8 | 27.3% |
| 2023 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2022 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2021 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2018 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Milwaukee Bucks?
62-61 against the spread (50.4%) in 123 team-games since 2007-08, 108-15 straight up and 69-52-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.8%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2010-2019: 21-21 (50.0%); 2020-2026: 41-40 (50.6%).