NBA Home favorites of 10+: Los Angeles Lakers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 153 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 63-89-1 (41.4%)
Straight up: 134-19 (87.6%)
Over/under: 81-72 (52.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.99 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 16 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2019: 35-62 (36.1%); 2020-2026: 28-27 (50.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2021 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2020 | 11-8-1 | 57.9% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2012 | 1-6 | 14.3% |
| 2011 | 5-13 | 27.8% |
| 2010 | 6-14 | 30.0% |
| 2009 | 13-17 | 43.3% |
| 2008 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Los Angeles Lakers?
63-89-1 against the spread (41.4%) in 153 team-games since 2007-08, 134-19 straight up and 81-72 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 16 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2019: 35-62 (36.1%); 2020-2026: 28-27 (50.9%).