NBA Home favorites of 10+: Indiana Pacers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 88 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 44-42-2 (51.2%)
Straight up: 80-8 (90.9%)
Over/under: 35-53 (39.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.77 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2016: 27-23 (54.0%); 2017-2026: 17-19 (47.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% |
| 2024 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2015 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 10-11-1 | 47.6% |
| 2013 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Indiana Pacers?
44-42-2 against the spread (51.2%) in 88 team-games since 2007-08, 80-8 straight up and 35-53 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2016: 27-23 (54.0%); 2017-2026: 17-19 (47.2%).