NBA Home favorites of 10+: Houston Rockets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 159 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 77-80-2 (49.0%)
Straight up: 140-19 (88.1%)
Over/under: 79-77-3 (50.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.81 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2016: 30-33 (47.6%); 2017-2026: 47-47 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2019 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2018 | 9-19-1 | 32.1% |
| 2017 | 11-7 | 61.1% |
| 2016 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 6-9-1 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2008 | 9-3 | 75.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Houston Rockets?
77-80-2 against the spread (49.0%) in 159 team-games since 2007-08, 140-19 straight up and 79-77-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2016: 30-33 (47.6%); 2017-2026: 47-47 (50.0%).