NBA Home favorites of 10+: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 253 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 116-130-7 (47.2%)
Straight up: 224-29 (88.5%)
Over/under: 122-128-3 (48.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.34 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 67-67 (50.0%); 2018-2026: 49-63 (43.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2022 | 7-6-1 | 53.8% |
| 2021 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 12-15 | 44.4% |
| 2018 | 15-20-1 | 42.9% |
| 2017 | 21-19-1 | 52.5% |
| 2016 | 17-15-2 | 53.1% |
| 2015 | 17-15-1 | 53.1% |
| 2014 | 5-5-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 3-10 | 23.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Golden State Warriors?
116-130-7 against the spread (47.2%) in 253 team-games since 2007-08, 224-29 straight up and 122-128-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 67-67 (50.0%); 2018-2026: 49-63 (43.8%).