NBA Home favorites of 10+: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 119 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 52-65-2 (44.4%)
Straight up: 104-15 (87.4%)
Over/under: 55-60-4 (47.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.06 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2015: 28-45 (38.4%); 2017-2025: 24-20 (54.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2024 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2023 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2022 | 6-3-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2013 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2010 | 0-10-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Dallas Mavericks?
52-65-2 against the spread (44.4%) in 119 team-games since 2007-08, 104-15 straight up and 55-60-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2015: 28-45 (38.4%); 2017-2025: 24-20 (54.5%).