NBA Home favorites of 10+: Boston Celtics: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 209 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 99-108-2 (47.8%)
Straight up: 175-34 (83.7%)
Over/under: 105-101-3 (51.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.17 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2018: 46-58 (44.2%); 2019-2027: 53-50 (51.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2026 | 10-6 | 62.5% |
| 2025 | 10-13 | 43.5% |
| 2024 | 11-8-2 | 57.9% |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2022 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2018 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 1-7 | 12.5% |
| 2016 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2015 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2010 | 4-15 | 21.1% |
| 2009 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2008 | 15-12 | 55.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Boston Celtics?
99-108-2 against the spread (47.8%) in 209 team-games since 2007-08, 175-34 straight up and 105-101-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 46-58 (44.2%); 2019-2027: 53-50 (51.5%).