NBA Home favorites of 10+: Atlanta Hawks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 91 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 44-46-1 (48.9%)
Straight up: 82-9 (90.1%)
Over/under: 52-38-1 (57.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.53 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2015: 20-27 (42.6%); 2016-2026: 24-19 (55.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2025 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2015 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2009 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Atlanta Hawks?
44-46-1 against the spread (48.9%) in 91 team-games since 2007-08, 82-9 straight up and 52-38-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2015: 20-27 (42.6%); 2016-2026: 24-19 (55.8%).