NBA Second night of a back-to-back: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Played last night. 303 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 154-141-8 (52.2%)
Straight up: 160-143 (52.8%)
Over/under: 150-148-5 (50.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.23 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 90-85 (51.4%); 2018-2027: 64-56 (53.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 13-4 | 76.5% |
| 2025 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2024 | 6-6-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 5-8-1 | 38.5% |
| 2022 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2021 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2020 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% |
| 2019 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2018 | 7-5-1 | 58.3% |
| 2017 | 13-2 | 86.7% |
| 2016 | 8-9 | 47.1% |
| 2015 | 9-6-2 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 8-8-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2012 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2011 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| 2009 | 6-13 | 31.6% |
| 2008 | 10-9-1 | 52.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA second night of a back-to-back for the Miami Heat?
154-141-8 against the spread (52.2%) in 303 team-games since 2007-08, 160-143 straight up and 150-148-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 90-85 (51.4%); 2018-2027: 64-56 (53.3%).