NBA Second night of a back-to-back: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Played last night. 305 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 146-154-5 (48.7%)
Straight up: 147-158 (48.2%)
Over/under: 168-133-4 (55.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.42 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 84-96 (46.7%); 2018-2026: 62-58 (51.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2025 | 10-6 | 62.5% |
| 2024 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2023 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2019 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2018 | 7-6-1 | 53.8% |
| 2017 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2016 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 9-11-1 | 45.0% |
| 2014 | 4-10 | 28.6% |
| 2013 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2012 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2010 | 6-14-2 | 30.0% |
| 2009 | 10-10-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 8-12 | 40.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA second night of a back-to-back for the Denver Nuggets?
146-154-5 against the spread (48.7%) in 305 team-games since 2007-08, 147-158 straight up and 168-133-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 84-96 (46.7%); 2018-2026: 62-58 (51.7%).