NBA Second night of a back-to-back: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Played last night. 302 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 153-145-4 (51.3%)
Straight up: 148-154 (49.0%)
Over/under: 150-146-6 (50.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.3 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 88-86 (50.6%); 2018-2027: 65-59 (52.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2025 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2024 | 11-3 | 78.6% |
| 2023 | 4-9 | 30.8% |
| 2022 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 6-5-2 | 54.5% |
| 2019 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2017 | 7-7-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2015 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2014 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2013 | 10-6 | 62.5% |
| 2012 | 11-11 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 13-7 | 65.0% |
| 2010 | 9-10-1 | 47.4% |
| 2009 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2008 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA second night of a back-to-back for the Dallas Mavericks?
153-145-4 against the spread (51.3%) in 302 team-games since 2007-08, 148-154 straight up and 150-146-6 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 88-86 (50.6%); 2018-2027: 65-59 (52.4%).