NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Sacramento Kings: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 66 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 24-40-2 (37.5%)
Straight up: 28-38 (42.4%)
Over/under: 34-32 (51.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -3.32 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 20 times. 2008-2017: 10-17 (37.0%); 2018-2026: 14-23 (37.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2024 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2022 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Sacramento Kings?
24-40-2 against the spread (37.5%) in 66 team-games since 2007-08, 28-38 straight up and 34-32 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 20 times.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 10-17 (37.0%); 2018-2026: 14-23 (37.8%).