NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: San Antonio Spurs: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 56 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 24-30-2 (44.4%)
Straight up: 34-22 (60.7%)
Over/under: 27-28-1 (49.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.44 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2018: 10-13 (43.5%); 2019-2026: 14-17 (45.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the San Antonio Spurs?
24-30-2 against the spread (44.4%) in 56 team-games since 2007-08, 34-22 straight up and 27-28-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 10-13 (43.5%); 2019-2026: 14-17 (45.2%).