NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Portland Trail Blazers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 67 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 40-27 (59.7%)
Straight up: 38-29 (56.7%)
Over/under: 32-35 (47.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.03 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 9 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 14-14 (50.0%); 2018-2026: 26-13 (66.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2023 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Portland Trail Blazers?
40-27 against the spread (59.7%) in 67 team-games since 2007-08, 38-29 straight up and 32-35 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 9 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 14-14 (50.0%); 2018-2026: 26-13 (66.7%).