NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Phoenix Suns: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 71 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 33-36-2 (47.8%)
Straight up: 37-34 (52.1%)
Over/under: 32-38-1 (45.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.38 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 19-17 (52.8%); 2018-2026: 14-19 (42.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Phoenix Suns?
33-36-2 against the spread (47.8%) in 71 team-games since 2007-08, 37-34 straight up and 32-38-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 19-17 (52.8%); 2018-2026: 14-19 (42.4%).