NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Philadelphia 76ers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 65 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 31-33-1 (48.4%)
Straight up: 30-35 (46.2%)
Over/under: 40-22-3 (64.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.32 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 13-17 (43.3%); 2018-2027: 18-16 (52.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 3-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Philadelphia 76ers?
31-33-1 against the spread (48.4%) in 65 team-games since 2007-08, 30-35 straight up and 40-22-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 13-17 (43.3%); 2018-2027: 18-16 (52.9%).