NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Orlando Magic: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 55 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 27-27-1 (50.0%)
Straight up: 23-32 (41.8%)
Over/under: 29-26 (52.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.13 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 7-14 (33.3%); 2018-2026: 20-13 (60.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: ORL vs WSH
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Orlando Magic?
27-27-1 against the spread (50.0%) in 55 team-games since 2007-08, 23-32 straight up and 29-26 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 7-14 (33.3%); 2018-2026: 20-13 (60.6%).