NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Oklahoma City Thunder: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 62 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 24-38 (38.7%)
Straight up: 33-29 (53.2%)
Over/under: 35-27 (56.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.81 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 13 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2018: 10-17 (37.0%); 2019-2027: 14-21 (40.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2025 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-6 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Oklahoma City Thunder?
24-38 against the spread (38.7%) in 62 team-games since 2007-08, 33-29 straight up and 35-27 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 13 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 10-17 (37.0%); 2019-2027: 14-21 (40.0%).