NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: New York Knicks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 64 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 30-32-2 (48.4%)
Straight up: 29-35 (45.3%)
Over/under: 35-29 (54.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.03 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 16-13 (55.2%); 2018-2026: 14-19 (42.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2024 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2010 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the New York Knicks?
30-32-2 against the spread (48.4%) in 64 team-games since 2007-08, 29-35 straight up and 35-29 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 16-13 (55.2%); 2018-2026: 14-19 (42.4%).