NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: New Orleans Pelicans: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 62 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 37-25 (59.7%)
Straight up: 31-31 (50.0%)
Over/under: 28-31-3 (47.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.08 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 12-12 (50.0%); 2018-2027: 25-13 (65.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2018 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the New Orleans Pelicans?
37-25 against the spread (59.7%) in 62 team-games since 2007-08, 31-31 straight up and 28-31-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 12-12 (50.0%); 2018-2027: 25-13 (65.8%).