NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Memphis Grizzlies: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 61 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 37-23-1 (61.7%)
Straight up: 32-29 (52.5%)
Over/under: 24-36-1 (40.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.06 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 14 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2010-2018: 17-4 (81.0%); 2019-2026: 20-19 (51.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2023 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2011 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Memphis Grizzlies?
37-23-1 against the spread (61.7%) in 61 team-games since 2007-08, 32-29 straight up and 24-36-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 14 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2010-2018: 17-4 (81.0%); 2019-2026: 20-19 (51.3%).