NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Los Angeles Lakers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 52 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 30-22 (57.7%)
Straight up: 36-16 (69.2%)
Over/under: 25-26-1 (49.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.02 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2018: 11-7 (61.1%); 2019-2026: 19-15 (55.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: LAL vs MIA
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2025 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2024 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Los Angeles Lakers?
30-22 against the spread (57.7%) in 52 team-games since 2007-08, 36-16 straight up and 25-26-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 11-7 (61.1%); 2019-2026: 19-15 (55.9%).