NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: LA Clippers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 80 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 35-44-1 (44.3%)
Straight up: 41-39 (51.3%)
Over/under: 37-43 (46.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.27 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 19-24 (44.2%); 2018-2026: 16-20 (44.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2016 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the LA Clippers?
35-44-1 against the spread (44.3%) in 80 team-games since 2007-08, 41-39 straight up and 37-43 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 19-24 (44.2%); 2018-2026: 16-20 (44.4%).