NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Indiana Pacers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 72 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 36-35-1 (50.7%)
Straight up: 41-31 (56.9%)
Over/under: 35-36-1 (49.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.32 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 18-16 (52.9%); 2018-2026: 18-19 (48.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: IND vs ATL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2025 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2024 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2023 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2022 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2014 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Indiana Pacers?
36-35-1 against the spread (50.7%) in 72 team-games since 2007-08, 41-31 straight up and 35-36-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 18-16 (52.9%); 2018-2026: 18-19 (48.6%).