NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 60 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 30-27-3 (52.6%)
Straight up: 38-22 (63.3%)
Over/under: 34-24-2 (58.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.13 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2018: 13-10 (56.5%); 2019-2026: 17-17 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: GS vs PHX
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Golden State Warriors?
30-27-3 against the spread (52.6%) in 60 team-games since 2007-08, 38-22 straight up and 34-24-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 13-10 (56.5%); 2019-2026: 17-17 (50.0%).