NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Detroit Pistons: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 73 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 41-31-1 (56.9%)
Straight up: 34-39 (46.6%)
Over/under: 34-39 (46.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.98 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 19-15 (55.9%); 2018-2027: 22-16 (57.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2025 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2015 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Detroit Pistons?
41-31-1 against the spread (56.9%) in 73 team-games since 2007-08, 34-39 straight up and 34-39 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 19-15 (55.9%); 2018-2027: 22-16 (57.9%).