NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Cleveland Cavaliers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 76 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 40-34-2 (54.1%)
Straight up: 40-36 (52.6%)
Over/under: 36-39-1 (48.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.75 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 20-11 (64.5%); 2018-2026: 20-23 (46.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2022 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2021 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Cleveland Cavaliers?
40-34-2 against the spread (54.1%) in 76 team-games since 2007-08, 40-36 straight up and 36-39-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 20-11 (64.5%); 2018-2026: 20-23 (46.5%).