NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Chicago Bulls: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 81 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 38-41-2 (48.1%)
Straight up: 42-39 (51.9%)
Over/under: 39-40-2 (49.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.05 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 17-18 (48.6%); 2018-2026: 21-23 (47.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2021 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2010 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2009 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Chicago Bulls?
38-41-2 against the spread (48.1%) in 81 team-games since 2007-08, 42-39 straight up and 39-40-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 17-18 (48.6%); 2018-2026: 21-23 (47.7%).