NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Charlotte Hornets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 67 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 33-34 (49.3%)
Straight up: 28-39 (41.8%)
Over/under: 29-38 (43.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.23 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 12-15 (44.4%); 2018-2026: 21-19 (52.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2021 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Charlotte Hornets?
33-34 against the spread (49.3%) in 67 team-games since 2007-08, 28-39 straight up and 29-38 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 12-15 (44.4%); 2018-2026: 21-19 (52.5%).