NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Boston Celtics: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 64 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 31-32-1 (49.2%)
Straight up: 41-23 (64.1%)
Over/under: 37-26-1 (58.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.22 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2018: 21-17 (55.3%); 2019-2027: 10-15 (40.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: BOS at HOU
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 3-0-1 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Boston Celtics?
31-32-1 against the spread (49.2%) in 64 team-games since 2007-08, 41-23 straight up and 37-26-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 21-17 (55.3%); 2019-2027: 10-15 (40.0%).