NBA Back-to-back vs a rested team: Atlanta Hawks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Tired legs against fresh ones. 74 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 35-39 (47.3%)
Straight up: 36-38 (48.6%)
Over/under: 38-36 (51.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.28 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2018: 17-14 (54.8%); 2019-2026: 18-25 (41.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2024 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2019 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA back-to-back vs a rested team for the Atlanta Hawks?
35-39 against the spread (47.3%) in 74 team-games since 2007-08, 36-38 straight up and 38-36 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 17-14 (54.8%); 2019-2026: 18-25 (41.9%).