NBA First home game after a road trip: Washington Wizards: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 388 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 181-203-4 (47.1%)
Straight up: 178-210 (45.9%)
Over/under: 203-179-6 (53.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.72 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 109-118 (48.0%); 2018-2027: 72-85 (45.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2025 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2024 | 4-13 | 23.5% |
| 2023 | 11-10-1 | 52.4% |
| 2022 | 8-8-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2020 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2019 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2018 | 8-12 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 10-13 | 43.5% |
| 2016 | 11-12 | 47.8% |
| 2015 | 9-15-1 | 37.5% |
| 2014 | 9-14-1 | 39.1% |
| 2013 | 14-8 | 63.6% |
| 2012 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2011 | 11-13 | 45.8% |
| 2010 | 9-14 | 39.1% |
| 2009 | 11-12 | 47.8% |
| 2008 | 16-9 | 64.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Washington Wizards?
181-203-4 against the spread (47.1%) in 388 team-games since 2007-08, 178-210 straight up and 203-179-6 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 109-118 (48.0%); 2018-2027: 72-85 (45.9%).