NBA First home game after a road trip: Utah Jazz: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 370 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 189-173-8 (52.2%)
Straight up: 240-130 (64.9%)
Over/under: 181-187-2 (49.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.28 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 112-98 (53.3%); 2018-2027: 77-75 (50.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 11-5 | 68.8% |
| 2025 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2024 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2023 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2022 | 5-12-1 | 29.4% |
| 2021 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2020 | 7-8-1 | 46.7% |
| 2019 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2018 | 12-9 | 57.1% |
| 2017 | 10-10-3 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 12-8-1 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 5-14-1 | 26.3% |
| 2013 | 15-6 | 71.4% |
| 2012 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 7-13 | 35.0% |
| 2010 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2009 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
| 2008 | 18-8-1 | 69.2% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Utah Jazz?
189-173-8 against the spread (52.2%) in 370 team-games since 2007-08, 240-130 straight up and 181-187-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 112-98 (53.3%); 2018-2027: 77-75 (50.7%).