NBA First home game after a road trip: Toronto Raptors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 376 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 176-194-6 (47.6%)
Straight up: 211-165 (56.1%)
Over/under: 185-189-2 (49.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.14 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 95-114 (45.5%); 2018-2027: 81-80 (50.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2025 | 11-6-1 | 64.7% |
| 2024 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 5-11 | 31.3% |
| 2021 | 8-6-1 | 57.1% |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2019 | 13-13 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 11-10-1 | 52.4% |
| 2016 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2015 | 7-13 | 35.0% |
| 2014 | 11-13-1 | 45.8% |
| 2013 | 14-8 | 63.6% |
| 2012 | 5-11 | 31.3% |
| 2011 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2010 | 9-14 | 39.1% |
| 2009 | 6-13-2 | 31.6% |
| 2008 | 13-11 | 54.2% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Toronto Raptors?
176-194-6 against the spread (47.6%) in 376 team-games since 2007-08, 211-165 straight up and 185-189-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 95-114 (45.5%); 2018-2027: 81-80 (50.3%).