NBA First home game after a road trip: San Antonio Spurs: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 368 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 195-164-9 (54.3%)
Straight up: 261-107 (70.9%)
Over/under: 188-179-1 (51.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.18 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 116-102 (53.2%); 2018-2027: 79-62 (56.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 10-6-1 | 62.5% |
| 2025 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2024 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2020 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2019 | 14-7 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 11-15 | 42.3% |
| 2016 | 14-10 | 58.3% |
| 2015 | 13-6-1 | 68.4% |
| 2014 | 15-11 | 57.7% |
| 2013 | 8-12-2 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2011 | 9-10-1 | 47.4% |
| 2010 | 13-9 | 59.1% |
| 2009 | 9-13-1 | 40.9% |
| 2008 | 14-9-3 | 60.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the San Antonio Spurs?
195-164-9 against the spread (54.3%) in 368 team-games since 2007-08, 261-107 straight up and 188-179-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 116-102 (53.2%); 2018-2027: 79-62 (56.0%).