NBA First home game after a road trip: Phoenix Suns: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 340 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 179-158-3 (53.1%)
Straight up: 196-144 (57.6%)
Over/under: 171-164-5 (51.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.27 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 102-85 (54.5%); 2018-2027: 77-73 (51.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2023 | 13-3 | 81.3% |
| 2022 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2021 | 14-6 | 70.0% |
| 2020 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2019 | 4-13 | 23.5% |
| 2018 | 8-8-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 11-8 | 57.9% |
| 2016 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2015 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2014 | 13-8 | 61.9% |
| 2013 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2011 | 7-10-1 | 41.2% |
| 2010 | 17-7-1 | 70.8% |
| 2009 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2008 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Phoenix Suns?
179-158-3 against the spread (53.1%) in 340 team-games since 2007-08, 196-144 straight up and 171-164-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 102-85 (54.5%); 2018-2027: 77-73 (51.3%).