NBA First home game after a road trip: Philadelphia 76ers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 385 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 183-196-6 (48.3%)
Straight up: 206-179 (53.5%)
Over/under: 197-181-7 (52.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.09 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 92-114 (44.7%); 2018-2027: 91-82 (52.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: PHI vs CHI
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2025 | 6-12-1 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 11-7 | 61.1% |
| 2023 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
| 2022 | 8-15 | 34.8% |
| 2021 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2020 | 9-6-1 | 60.0% |
| 2019 | 14-10 | 58.3% |
| 2018 | 15-7 | 68.2% |
| 2017 | 16-4 | 80.0% |
| 2016 | 6-12-1 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 6-15 | 28.6% |
| 2013 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2012 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
| 2011 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2010 | 6-18-1 | 25.0% |
| 2009 | 8-14-2 | 36.4% |
| 2008 | 13-11 | 54.2% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Philadelphia 76ers?
183-196-6 against the spread (48.3%) in 385 team-games since 2007-08, 206-179 straight up and 197-181-7 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 92-114 (44.7%); 2018-2027: 91-82 (52.6%).