NBA First home game after a road trip: Orlando Magic: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 359 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 174-180-5 (49.2%)
Straight up: 196-163 (54.6%)
Over/under: 173-182-4 (48.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.19 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 102-104 (49.5%); 2018-2027: 72-76 (48.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 11-6 | 64.7% |
| 2025 | 8-9 | 47.1% |
| 2024 | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| 2023 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2022 | 6-13 | 31.6% |
| 2021 | 4-11 | 26.7% |
| 2020 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2019 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 6-12-1 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 13-8 | 61.9% |
| 2015 | 8-10-1 | 44.4% |
| 2014 | 9-7-1 | 56.3% |
| 2013 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2012 | 7-13 | 35.0% |
| 2011 | 8-15 | 34.8% |
| 2010 | 11-11-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 19-10 | 65.5% |
| 2008 | 14-8-1 | 63.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Orlando Magic?
174-180-5 against the spread (49.2%) in 359 team-games since 2007-08, 196-163 straight up and 173-182-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 102-104 (49.5%); 2018-2027: 72-76 (48.6%).