NBA First home game after a road trip: New York Knicks: ATS Record Since 2007-08

The "back home" spot. 382 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 195-183-4 (51.6%)
Straight up: 196-186 (51.3%)
Over/under: 178-202-2 (46.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.04 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 115-97 (54.2%); 2018-2027: 80-86 (48.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20270-10.0%
202612-763.2%
20259-9-150.0%
20249-756.3%
20239-10-147.4%
20229-950.0%
20219-756.3%
20207-1041.2%
20197-1433.3%
20189-1242.9%
201711-1150.0%
201613-959.1%
201512-1152.2%
201410-1441.7%
201315-962.5%
201212-570.6%
201113-9-259.1%
201010-855.6%
200911-1052.4%
20088-1142.1%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the New York Knicks?

195-183-4 against the spread (51.6%) in 382 team-games since 2007-08, 196-186 straight up and 178-202-2 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.5%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 115-97 (54.2%); 2018-2027: 80-86 (48.2%).

All NBA trends · NBA previews