NBA First home game after a road trip: New York Knicks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 382 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 195-183-4 (51.6%)
Straight up: 196-186 (51.3%)
Over/under: 178-202-2 (46.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.04 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 115-97 (54.2%); 2018-2027: 80-86 (48.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: NY vs BKN
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 12-7 | 63.2% |
| 2025 | 9-9-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2023 | 9-10-1 | 47.4% |
| 2022 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2020 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2019 | 7-14 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
| 2017 | 11-11 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 13-9 | 59.1% |
| 2015 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2014 | 10-14 | 41.7% |
| 2013 | 15-9 | 62.5% |
| 2012 | 12-5 | 70.6% |
| 2011 | 13-9-2 | 59.1% |
| 2010 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2009 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2008 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the New York Knicks?
195-183-4 against the spread (51.6%) in 382 team-games since 2007-08, 196-186 straight up and 178-202-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 115-97 (54.2%); 2018-2027: 80-86 (48.2%).