NBA First home game after a road trip: Memphis Grizzlies: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 406 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 212-185-9 (53.4%)
Straight up: 243-163 (59.9%)
Over/under: 193-208-5 (48.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.76 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 125-105 (54.3%); 2018-2027: 87-80 (52.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 7-11 | 38.9% |
| 2025 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2024 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2023 | 12-7 | 63.2% |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 68.2% |
| 2021 | 4-10-1 | 28.6% |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2019 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2018 | 7-11-1 | 38.9% |
| 2017 | 14-8 | 63.6% |
| 2016 | 15-8 | 65.2% |
| 2015 | 14-9-1 | 60.9% |
| 2014 | 8-16-1 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 16-13-1 | 55.2% |
| 2012 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| 2011 | 21-5-1 | 80.8% |
| 2010 | 6-15-2 | 28.6% |
| 2009 | 11-11-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 12-10 | 54.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Memphis Grizzlies?
212-185-9 against the spread (53.4%) in 406 team-games since 2007-08, 243-163 straight up and 193-208-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 125-105 (54.3%); 2018-2027: 87-80 (52.1%).