NBA First home game after a road trip: LA Clippers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 337 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 156-180-1 (46.4%)
Straight up: 192-145 (57.0%)
Over/under: 159-175-3 (47.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.97 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 80-105 (43.2%); 2018-2027: 76-75 (50.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: LAC vs TOR
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 11-7 | 61.1% |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2024 | 5-11 | 31.3% |
| 2023 | 3-13 | 18.8% |
| 2022 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2021 | 11-8 | 57.9% |
| 2020 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2019 | 13-8 | 61.9% |
| 2018 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2017 | 12-9 | 57.1% |
| 2016 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 8-13 | 38.1% |
| 2014 | 8-13 | 38.1% |
| 2013 | 10-9-1 | 52.6% |
| 2012 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| 2011 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2010 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2009 | 6-13 | 31.6% |
| 2008 | 4-13 | 23.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the LA Clippers?
156-180-1 against the spread (46.4%) in 337 team-games since 2007-08, 192-145 straight up and 159-175-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 80-105 (43.2%); 2018-2027: 76-75 (50.3%).