NBA First home game after a road trip: Indiana Pacers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 415 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 215-190-10 (53.1%)
Straight up: 251-164 (60.5%)
Over/under: 195-215-5 (47.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.64 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 133-104 (56.1%); 2018-2027: 82-86 (48.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2026 | 11-7 | 61.1% |
| 2025 | 10-10-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 8-9-1 | 47.1% |
| 2023 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 7-12-1 | 36.8% |
| 2021 | 4-14 | 22.2% |
| 2020 | 7-7-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2018 | 16-8 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 10-14 | 41.7% |
| 2016 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2015 | 10-9-1 | 52.6% |
| 2014 | 16-13 | 55.2% |
| 2013 | 17-9 | 65.4% |
| 2012 | 13-11 | 54.2% |
| 2011 | 13-10-1 | 56.5% |
| 2010 | 10-11-2 | 47.6% |
| 2009 | 18-8 | 69.2% |
| 2008 | 12-10-1 | 54.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Indiana Pacers?
215-190-10 against the spread (53.1%) in 415 team-games since 2007-08, 251-164 straight up and 195-215-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 133-104 (56.1%); 2018-2027: 82-86 (48.8%).