NBA First home game after a road trip: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 353 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 186-160-7 (53.8%)
Straight up: 240-113 (68.0%)
Over/under: 164-183-6 (47.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.26 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 110-80 (57.9%); 2018-2027: 76-80 (48.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 6-8-1 | 42.9% |
| 2024 | 8-9 | 47.1% |
| 2023 | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2021 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2020 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 8-15-1 | 34.8% |
| 2018 | 8-11-1 | 42.1% |
| 2017 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2016 | 12-9-2 | 57.1% |
| 2015 | 15-7-1 | 68.2% |
| 2014 | 11-8-1 | 57.9% |
| 2013 | 12-10 | 54.5% |
| 2012 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 11-8 | 57.9% |
| 2010 | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| 2009 | 12-6 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Golden State Warriors?
186-160-7 against the spread (53.8%) in 353 team-games since 2007-08, 240-113 straight up and 164-183-6 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 110-80 (57.9%); 2018-2027: 76-80 (48.7%).