NBA First home game after a road trip: Cleveland Cavaliers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 413 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 190-217-6 (46.7%)
Straight up: 250-163 (60.5%)
Over/under: 198-213-2 (48.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.52 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 111-124 (47.2%); 2018-2027: 79-93 (45.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: CLE vs OKC
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 8-13 | 38.1% |
| 2025 | 11-12 | 47.8% |
| 2024 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| 2023 | 12-7-1 | 63.2% |
| 2022 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2020 | 5-7-1 | 41.7% |
| 2019 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 8-17-1 | 32.0% |
| 2017 | 10-12-2 | 45.5% |
| 2016 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2015 | 10-15 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 12-13 | 48.0% |
| 2013 | 8-16 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2011 | 8-10-1 | 44.4% |
| 2010 | 10-16 | 38.5% |
| 2009 | 22-6 | 78.6% |
| 2008 | 10-17 | 37.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Cleveland Cavaliers?
190-217-6 against the spread (46.7%) in 413 team-games since 2007-08, 250-163 straight up and 198-213-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 111-124 (47.2%); 2018-2027: 79-93 (45.9%).