NBA First home game after a road trip: Chicago Bulls: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 405 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 189-209-7 (47.5%)
Straight up: 218-187 (53.8%)
Over/under: 188-210-7 (47.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.43 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 105-117 (47.3%); 2018-2027: 84-92 (47.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2024 | 6-12 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 6-14 | 30.0% |
| 2022 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 8-8-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 9-9-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 7-14 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 12-8-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 11-13 | 45.8% |
| 2016 | 11-11 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 10-16 | 38.5% |
| 2014 | 12-12 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 5-18 | 21.7% |
| 2012 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2011 | 12-10-1 | 54.5% |
| 2010 | 11-9-2 | 55.0% |
| 2009 | 14-9 | 60.9% |
| 2008 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Chicago Bulls?
189-209-7 against the spread (47.5%) in 405 team-games since 2007-08, 218-187 straight up and 188-210-7 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 105-117 (47.3%); 2018-2027: 84-92 (47.7%).