NBA First home game after a road trip: Brooklyn Nets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The "back home" spot. 368 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 171-190-7 (47.4%)
Straight up: 166-202 (45.1%)
Over/under: 167-196-5 (46.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.14 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 94-107 (46.8%); 2018-2027: 77-83 (48.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 12-8-1 | 60.0% |
| 2025 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
| 2024 | 7-6-1 | 53.8% |
| 2023 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 3-16 | 15.8% |
| 2021 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2019 | 11-11 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 9-8-1 | 52.9% |
| 2017 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2016 | 7-9-1 | 43.8% |
| 2015 | 10-11-1 | 47.6% |
| 2014 | 14-10 | 58.3% |
| 2013 | 10-11 | 47.6% |
| 2012 | 4-12-1 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 10-11 | 47.6% |
| 2010 | 5-14 | 26.3% |
| 2009 | 10-14-1 | 41.7% |
| 2008 | 14-6 | 70.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first home game after a road trip for the Brooklyn Nets?
171-190-7 against the spread (47.4%) in 368 team-games since 2007-08, 166-202 straight up and 167-196-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 94-107 (46.8%); 2018-2027: 77-83 (48.1%).