New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers prediction: Rangers bring an unsettled crease into McDavid's shooting gallery
Edmonton leads the league in goals and finishing, and New York may hand the net to a goalie with one game in a Rangers sweater.
Edmonton Oilers covered the closing puck line (New York Rangers +1.5). The game went under the closing total of 6.5.
- Proven wallets leaned New York Rangers on the moneyline (6 wallets, 67% one way): it lost.
| Line | Edmonton Oilers -164 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6.5 |
- Edmonton's finishing should drive this one; the Rangers need saves, discipline and a clean first period to stay close.
- Edmonton's power play, 3rd at 33.8%, faces a Rangers penalty kill ranked 2nd at 89.1%.
- Edmonton is -155 with the total steady at 6.5; the Oilers are 12-6 on the puck line this season.
Edmonton's finishing problem
The Oilers lead the NHL with 4.11 goals per game, and they don't get there on volume. They rank 21st in shots on goal but first in shooting percentage (goals per shot) at 15.8%. Some of that will cool off over a longer stretch. Much of it is what happens when the puck lives on Connor McDavid's stick.
McDavid has 47 points and a point in every game this season, a streak that goes on the line tonight. Leon Draisaitl has 16 goals and scored twice in the third period of Saturday's win over Vancouver. Evan Bouchard adds 31 points from the blue line.
The Rangers have already seen it up close. Edmonton won 4-1 at Madison Square Garden on Nov. 1, a record-setting night for McDavid.
Two creases, two question marks
Igor Shesterkin is out for the season after knee surgery, and that reshapes everything for New York. Joonas Korpisalo, activated off injured reserve after a foot infection, made 25 saves Saturday in his Rangers debut, a win in Seattle. He is the projected starter, but nothing has been confirmed, and there are indications the Rangers could alternate. That would put Dylan Garand back in net. Garand has carried most of the load with a .906 save percentage.
Edmonton's situation looks steadier but not stronger. Devon Levi, back from injured reserve, is the probable starter after beating Vancouver on Saturday. His .889 save percentage trails Tristan Jarry's .903. Jarry missed Thursday with an illness and is healthy again as the backup. Neither team has confirmed its starter.
Power play against the wall
New York's best weapon is its penalty kill, which stops opponents at 89.1%, 2nd in the league. It will be busy. Edmonton draws 3.61 power plays per game, among the league's highest. The Oilers convert 33.8% of them (power-play goals per opportunity), 3rd in the NHL.
The reverse matchup is where the Rangers could steal something, if they ever get the chance. Edmonton's kill sits at 75.0%, in the bottom half of the league. New York draws so few penalties that it rarely gets to test that weakness, so the Rangers' discipline matters more than their power play.
Road form and the lineup
The Rangers have won three straight, but they are just 2-5-1 away from home. Edmonton has been oddly better on the road, going 7-0-1, than at Rogers Place.
Lineup news cuts both ways. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins took a puck to the side of the head Saturday, did not finish the game and was listed as day-to-day on Sunday. Colton Dach is day-to-day with an illness, while Zach Hyman returned Saturday. For New York, Sean Durzi is on injured reserve after missing a fourth straight game, and Alberts Smits is day-to-day with an upper-body injury after a late scratch Saturday.
What the price says
Edmonton is -155 on the moneyline. The puck line and the total of 6.5 haven't moved since our feed first recorded the game on Sunday. The Oilers are 12-6 on the puck line this season. The Rangers' case rests on a goalie who hasn't been named and a penalty kill that has to hold up against the league's best finishers.
New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers line movement and odds
| Book | Rangers ML | Oilers ML | Rangers spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -165 | +1.5 (-175) | o6.5 (-115) |
| DraftKings | +136 | -162 | +1.5 (-180) | o6.5 (-112) |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -165 | +1.5 (-180) | o6.5 (-115) |
| Fanatics | +135 | -165 | +1.5 (-180) | o6.5 (-115) |
| FanDuel | +138 | -170 | +1.5 (-170) | o6.5 (-115) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -170 | +1.5 (-185) | o6.5 (-115) |
| Caesars | +140 | -170 | +1.5 (-170) | o6.5 (-113) |
Key players
- Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers): Leads the Oilers with 47 points, including 37 assists, this season.
- Leon Draisaitl (Edmonton Oilers): Has 16 goals on 70 shots this season.
- Evan Bouchard (Edmonton Oilers): Has 31 points while logging 25.8 minutes a night this season.
- Devon Levi (Edmonton Oilers): Carries an .889 save percentage over eight games this season.
- Adam Fox (New York Rangers): Leads the Rangers with 22 points, 20 of them assists, this season.
- Alexis Lafreniere (New York Rangers): Has nine goals on a 22.0% shooting percentage this season.
- Mika Zibanejad (New York Rangers): Has 15 points this season but sits at -4.
- Dylan Garand (New York Rangers): Has a .906 save percentage and 2.52 goals-against average in 13 games this season.
Numbers that matter
| Oilers goals per game | 4.11 | First of 32 teams, fueled by a league-best 15.8% shooting percentage. |
|---|---|---|
| Oilers power play | 33.8% | Third in the NHL, facing a Rangers kill ranked 2nd. |
| Rangers penalty kill | 89.1% | Second in the league and New York's best chance to slow Edmonton. |
| Rangers road record | 2-5-1 | New York has struggled away from home despite a three-game win streak. |
| Oilers moneyline | -155 | Edmonton is the favorite, and the total has stayed at 6.5 since our feed first saw the game. |
New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers: quick answers
What was the final score of New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers?
New York Rangers 1, Edmonton Oilers 3 (final). Edmonton Oilers covered the closing puck line (New York Rangers +1.5). The game went under the closing total of 6.5.
What is the over/under for New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers?
The total is 6.5 goals.
When is New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers?
Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET.
Has the line moved for New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers?
No: New York Rangers has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).