Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks prediction: Dustin Wolf carries Calgary's crease into San Jose with Cooley sidelined
With Devin Cooley on injured reserve, the Flames lean on a goalie stopping 84.7% of shots, against a Sharks team that gives up shots in bulk and hasn't settled its own net.
| Line | San Jose Sharks -120 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6.5 |
- Expect a busy night in both creases. Both teams rank near the bottom in shots allowed, which puts Calgary's thin goaltending under real pressure.
- Watch Wolf against the Sharks' power play. San Jose draws 3.47 power plays per game, 6th in the league, and Calgary takes plenty of penalties.
- San Jose is a -135 favorite with the total at 6.5, both unchanged since our feed first saw the game. Calgary is 1-5-0 on the road.
The Wolf question
The most important fact about tonight's game happened last Wednesday in Edmonton. Devin Cooley took a hit in his crease, landed on injured reserve with a lower-body injury and is considered week-to-week, with an estimated return of Nov. 14. He had been Calgary's best goalie, posting a 91.4% save percentage over seven games.
That leaves Dustin Wolf as the probable starter, with Arsenii Sergeev behind him. Wolf has had a rough start, with an 84.7% save percentage and a 4.39 goals-against average in his seven games. As a team, Calgary's save percentage sits 26th in the league. Seven starts is a small sample for any goalie, but Wolf has no partner to share the load until Cooley returns.
San Jose's net is less settled than its depth chart suggests. Yaroslav Askarov is listed as the probable starter, but other projections point to Alex Nedeljkovic, who started Saturday and has taken more of the work lately. The coach has said he's comfortable playing either goalie against anyone. The gap between them is tiny: Askarov stops 90.0% of shots, Nedeljkovic 89.9%.
A penalty fight Calgary can't afford
Calgary's power play is lethal when it gets the chance. It converts 33.3% of its opportunities (power-play goals per chance), 3rd in the league. The problem is how rarely the Flames earn those chances: they draw 2.36 power plays per game, which ranks 31st.
The other side of the ledger looks worse for them. The Flames rank 29th in penalty minutes at 12.2 per game, and San Jose is good at drawing calls. The Sharks' penalty kill, which stops 84.0% of opponents' chances, ranks 8th. If the whistles pile up, the Sharks are better built to profit from them.
Shots everywhere, finishing nowhere
Neither team keeps the puck out of its own end. San Jose allows 30.9 shots per game, 31st in the league, and owns just 46.7% of all shots in its games (shot share). That would normally be bad news for the home side. Tonight, though, it may put more rubber on Askarov or Nedeljkovic than on a struggling Wolf.
Calgary generates volume, ranking 10th with 28.5 shots per game, but cashes in on only 9.0% of them, 31st in the league. Joel Farabee (15 points) and Matt Coronato (14) drive the offense, with Matvei Gridin chipping in five goals.
For San Jose, Macklin Celebrini leads the way with 16 points in 13 games, though he enters on a five-game goalless run. Will Smith leads the Sharks with six goals. Facing a goalie at Wolf's numbers, a Celebrini breakout is a reasonable thing to watch for.
Health, history and the market
Both teams are short-handed. Calgary is also without Connor Zary, Jonathan Huberdeau and Samuel Honzek, and Brennan Othmann was day-to-day as of Sunday. San Jose is missing Alexander Wennberg and Igor Chernyshov. Darnell Nurse is projected in the lineup but has no official update.
The Flames have been a different team away from home, going 1-5-0 on the road, including Saturday's 5-2 loss in Colorado. They did win the last two meetings with the Sharks last season, 3-2 in Calgary and 4-1 at SAP Center. San Jose comes in off a 5-1 home loss to Ottawa.
The market makes the Sharks modest favorites at -135, with Calgary at +114. Neither the total of 6.5 nor the puck line has moved since our feed first recorded them. Both teams sit near even on overs and unders this season, so the total question likely comes down to whether Wolf steadies.
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks line movement and odds
| Book | Flames ML | Sharks ML | Flames spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -105 | -118 | +1.5 (-250) | o6.5 (-102) |
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-238) | o6.5 (-102) |
| ESPN BET | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-250) | o6.5 (+100) |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-240) | o6.5 (+100) |
| FanDuel | +104 | -125 | +1.5 (-260) | o6.5 (+100) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -130 | +1.5 (-250) | o6.5 (-105) |
| Caesars | +105 | -124 | +1.5 (-245) | o6.5 (-108) |
Where the money is on Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks
On the Kalshi moneyline: Calgary Flames: 22% of bets, 35% of the money; San Jose Sharks: 78% of bets, 65% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: San Jose Sharks -1.5: 79% of bets, 66% of the money; Calgary Flames +1.5: 21% of bets, 34% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 53% of bets, 78% of the money; Under 6.5: 47% of bets, 23% of the money.
Proven Polymarket wallets. Moneyline: Calgary Flames (3 wallets, $30,007) vs San Jose Sharks (2 wallets, $86). Largest: Barren-Hospital-Pilgrim $28,569 on Calgary Flames, Tattered-Screamer $938 on Calgary Flames, Rapid-Lay $500 on Calgary Flames. Spread: Calgary Flames (1 wallet, $887) vs San Jose Sharks (1 wallet, $5). Largest: Growing-Comestible $887 on Calgary Flames, NordhavenCap $5 on San Jose Sharks. Total: over (1 wallet, $16). Largest: NordhavenCap $16 on over.
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks stats (this season)
| Stat | Calgary Flames | San Jose Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-8-0 | 7-7-1 |
| Goals per game | 2.57 (28th of 32) | 2.67 (26th of 32) |
| Goals allowed per game | 3.71 (28th of 32) | 3.40 (22nd of 32) |
| Goal differential per game | -1.14 (29th of 32) | -0.73 (26th of 32) |
| Shots on goal per game | 28.5 (10th of 32) | 27.1 (17th of 32) |
| Shots allowed per game | 30.1 (28th of 32) | 30.9 (31st of 32) |
| Shot share | 48.7% (20th of 32) | 46.7% (28th of 32) |
| Shooting % | 9.0% (31st of 32) | 9.8% (26th of 32) |
| Team save % | 87.6% (26th of 32) | 89.0% (10th of 32) |
| Power play % | 33.3% (3rd of 32) | 23.1% (12th of 32) |
| Penalty kill % | 81.8% (11th of 32) | 84.0% (8th of 32) |
| Faceoff % | 48.1% (22nd of 32) | 47.2% (26th of 32) |
Key players
- Dustin Wolf (Calgary Flames): Has an 84.7% save percentage and a 4.39 goals-against average in seven games this season, with Cooley on injured reserve.
- Joel Farabee (Calgary Flames): Leads the Flames with 15 points in 14 games this season, shooting 15.2%.
- Matt Coronato (Calgary Flames): Has 11 assists among his 14 points this season.
- Macklin Celebrini (San Jose Sharks): Leads San Jose with 16 points in 13 games this season but has gone five games without a goal.
- Will Smith (San Jose Sharks): Leads the Sharks with six goals this season on a 14.6% shooting rate.
- Yaroslav Askarov (San Jose Sharks): Listed as a probable starter, with a 90.0% save percentage over nine games this season.
- Alex Nedeljkovic (San Jose Sharks): Projected by some outlets to start, with an 89.9% save percentage in six games this season.
Numbers that matter
| Wolf save percentage | 84.7% | Calgary's probable starter has struggled through seven games, and Cooley's injury leaves no relief. |
|---|---|---|
| Sharks power plays drawn per game | 3.47 | Ranks 6th, against a Calgary team that is 29th in penalty minutes. |
| Flames power play | 33.3% | Ranks 3rd in the league, but Calgary draws the second-fewest power plays. |
| Sharks shots allowed per game | 30.9 | Ranks 31st, so San Jose's goalie should be busy too. |
| Sharks moneyline | -135 | San Jose is a modest home favorite, and the line hasn't moved since our feed first saw it. |
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks: quick answers
What is the over/under for Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks?
The total is 6.5 goals.
When is Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks?
Monday, November 2, 2026 at 9:10 PM ET.
Where is Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks played?
SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose.
Has the line moved for Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks?
No: Calgary Flames has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Calgary Flames: 22% of bets, 35% of the money; San Jose Sharks: 78% of bets, 65% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: San Jose Sharks -1.5: 79% of bets, 66% of the money; Calgary Flames +1.5: 21% of bets, 34% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 53% of bets, 78% of the money; Under 6.5: 47% of bets, 23% of the money.
What are proven bettors on in Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks?
Proven Polymarket wallets, graded on 180 days of settled bets: Moneyline: Calgary Flames (3 wallets, $30,007) vs San Jose Sharks (2 wallets, $86). Largest: Barren-Hospital-Pilgrim $28,569 on Calgary Flames, Tattered-Screamer $938 on Calgary Flames, Rapid-Lay $500 on Calgary Flames. Spread: Calgary Flames (1 wallet, $887) vs San Jose Sharks (1 wallet, $5). Largest: Growing-Comestible $887 on Calgary Flames, NordhavenCap $5 on San Jose Sharks. Total: over (1 wallet, $16). Largest: NordhavenCap $16 on over. A sharp side is a question, not a bet; copying proven wallets late lost money in our test.